The price of oil at $50 per barrel can increase Russia's budget deficit another 800 billion rubles

The price of oil at $50 per barrel can increase Russia's budget deficit another 800 billion rublesFor the first time the new year for the economy starts without any actual economic forecast. The collapse in oil prices to about $50 per barrel did not provide any forecasts of the Bank of Russia, neither the economy nor the analysts of the Ministry of Finance, at the end of 2014, who presented the latest updates to the forecasts for 2015 Since 2005 (with the exception of the price collapse in 2008) was not a situation in which the current price of oil did not fit in any of the departmental stress scenarios. Worst official script now are not officially published pre-calculations of the Ministry of Finance for the collapse of oil prices to average $60 in 2015, with recovery of up to $70 in 2017, In this case, the Russian economy will be reduced, according to the model, by 4%. Current budget projections of the White house for approximately $80 per barrel.In a linear approach to change the budget deficit by 2015 at $50 per barrel will increase even further at least 600-800 billion rubles, which will cause the government when nesokrushimiy all budget costs by 10-15% to spend almost the entire Reserve Fund already in 2015It is unlikely that the government and the presidential administration will now hurry up with solutions and even with comments. On the one hand, the collapse of the beginning of the year would be temporary and execution of oil contracts the end of 2014 at the old price and availability of the Reserve Fund in any case guarantee from fiscal catastrophes at least in the first quarter of 2015, on the other hand, the constant oil price of $40-50 per barrel, and even more below do not allow the Russian Federation, only to modify the budget by 2015, without changing its main priorities. Based on budget projections of the end of 2014.



Похожие статьи

Ваше имя
Ваша почта
Город, область
Рассылка комментариев





Ввести код:
  • Cold up to minus 37 degrees expected in the Chelyabinsk region in the next two days
  • Vsevolod Chaplin strayed from the "Echo of Moscow: Stalin was both good and bad, and HSE richer ROC
  • The poles of a mad statement Shetani: Without Russian Hitler would have turned us into soap, immediately after the Jews
  • In Tatiana's day Sverdlovsk students will go to the rally
  • Napolitano resigned from the post of President of Italy
  • In the crisis of the Sverdlovsk try to buy products cheaper, but cheaper doesn't mean better: the government has declared war on counterfeit
  • The course of combat training ranges CVO will be monitored live
  • Beaten on the eve of the doctors ambulance re-hospitalized: the doctor-the resuscitation and driver physicians have noted deterioration
  • Countdown: before the second Ukrainian war left...
  • 615 Tyumentsev opposed social patronage over the family by signing the letter to the President and the state Duma